Monday, September 18, 2017

So why are we in this Paris Climate deal?

Harvey and Irma Can't be Blamed on Climate Change

There's only one small problem with such accusations. Man-made warming did not cause Harvey and Irma. As carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gas emissions have increased, there have been no trends in global tropical cycle landfalls. Before Harvey and Irma, with a little bit of luck, the United States was in a 12-year hurricane drought. More importantly, the average number of hurricanes per decade reaching landfall in the U.S. has fallen over the past 160 years. This comes not via "denier data," but from mainstream science. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reported in its most recent scientific assessment that "(n)o robust trends in annual numbers of tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes ... have been identified over the past 100 years in the North Atlantic basin," and that there are "no significant observed trends in global tropical cyclone frequency." 

 Take note even the latest IPCC assessment said there's no correlation between global warming and tropical cyclonic activity.

Even if man-made warming were responsible for Harvey and Irma, the policies that tax or regulate carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gas emissions are costly non-solutions. The U.S. could slap a $40 tax on all carbon dioxide emissions, and the "climate benefits" would be hardly noticeable. By the year 2100, the averted warming would be less than two-tenths of a degree Celsius, and the averted sea level rise would be less than 2 centimeters. The costs, however, would be staggering. Because carbon dioxide-emitting conventional fuels meet 80 percent of America's energy needs, the tax would harm families multiple times over as energy is a necessary component for almost everything we make and do. Between now and 2035, the country would experience an average employment shortfall of 400,000 lost jobs, a total loss of income exceeding $20,000 for a family of four, and a $2.5 trillion hit to the overall economy. That means less wealth to combat future challenges, whether they are climate-related or not. 

The disaster is not global warming per sec. It is the misbegotten policies to try and prevent it. It is surly a case where the cure is worse than the disease.

Saturday, September 2, 2017

The media has disgraced itself with Hurricane Harvey Coverage

From the catty complaints over Melina Trump’s stilettos, to the whining about president Trump not showing “compassion” to the victims, to the gross and indecent cartoons about Texas they media has finally drop and pretense of what they think of themselves and what they think about commons ordinary Americans.

From all objective criteria the local, state, and federal response to the disaster has been exemplary (so far).  

In addition, the outpouring of support from ordinary people helping one another, saving one another’s lives, demonstrates what is best about the Texan character, and the American character in general.

However, that is not what the Trump loathing media wanted as the narrative. They desperately wanted the narrative to be of a colossal Katrina-size failure of a government lead by a reality show star who is in over his head.

To their great disappointment, Trump performed admirably in managing the federal response to the disaster. He appointed good, professional people in positions of authority who manage the response in a professional manner. 

And not enough credit can be given to the point man in the response to the disaster; Texas governor Greg Abbot.  His performance compared the ex-governor Kathleen Blanco in Katrina was like night and day. Where Blanco rolled up in a fetal position, overwhelmed by her responsibilities, Abbot immediately took charge and was proactive coordinating the local, state, and federal response. 

The effort was so successful that the media could not find anything substantial to attack Trump with so they were reduced to attacking Melina’s shoes and whine over insubstantial optics. 

This is the behavior of a group whose hate is so fundamental that they can no longer approach their tasks in a fair and professional manner. It’s small wonder that their credibility has tanked and that their approval ratings are not much better than Congresses.

But I think the topper was the gross and indecent cartoons published by so call main stream media outlets.  A picture is worth a thousand words and in those pictures, was the undisguised elitism of the political class and their disdain and contempt for ordinary Americans living outside of the Arcelia corridor.   They represent what is worst of the American character and are a disgrace to their country

Sunday, April 30, 2017

Watch Florida 27 In 2018

This is Rep Ileana Ros-Lehtinen's (R) district and she just announced her retirement which means the seat is going to be open in 2018. 

However, I suspect the primary reason for her retirement was the court ordered redrawing of her district lines. The district used to extend down to the southeastern coast of Miami-Dade county from Hialeah, and Little Havana to Homestead. It also included the exclusive Key Biscayne neighborhood off the port of Miami. With the new lines, the district loses Homestead and it's mostly Republican constituency and pick up some surrounding Democrat neighborhoods in Miami. 

In 2016 they re-elected Ros-Lehtinen by 9 points but the district went for Hillary Clinton by 10 points. 

Cook now Rates the District as D+5 and it should be an easy pickup for the Democrats in 2018. 

If not, then the Democrats will been in real trouble. 

Wednesday, April 5, 2017

Abuse of the FISA Law Is The Real Story

To hear the media narrative, you would think the biggest story of the century is the “sinister” connections between Donald Trump, his associates, and certain Russian officials and private Russian citizens.

However, for all the smoke generated by these stories, according to testimony by FBI director James Comey, there is no evidence of collusion or any illegal or improper actions by Trump or any of his associates. (I would have to say yet as the FBI investigation is on-going, but after eight months of investigation, I would doubt they will find any.)  

Despite this, the media persist in running the “Russian collusion” narrative. However, in their hatred of all things Trump, they are ignoring the more significant part of this story.

A more important and, quite frankly, scary aspect of this story.

The reason we know about this in the first place is that the National Security Agency (NSA) has intercepted communications between these foreign agents and associates of Trump’s business organization and presidential campaign.
FISA (Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act) gives the NSA broad authority to intercept communications of foreign persons without a warrant. Even if they are within the United States or they are communicating with US citizens.

If they are communicating with US citizens then, by law, the NSA must shield the identity of the US citizens by substituting pseudonyms for their actual names and redacting any text that would reveal their identity.

However, there is a highly-classified index that equates the pseudonym with the actual citizen’s identity.  This allow the citizen name to be “unmasked”. These names can only be unmasked at the order of high-level officials and only for purposes of national security or to pursue a criminal probe. (It is unclear whether a FISA warrant is required to unmasked a name for a criminal investigation, but it should.)

With that in mind, consider these points.

1.       We know conversations with the Russian ambassador to the US and former Nation Security Advisor Michael Flynn was leaked to the New York Times. Not only was classified intercepts leaked but Flynn’s identity was unmasked so the leaker had to be a high-level Obama administration official or a high-level official revealed the information to the eventual leaker. Either way disclosing classified information and the Identity of US citizens in warrantless intercepts is a felony.     

2.       An unusually large number of foreign persons with contacts and previous relationships with Trump and his associates were targeted for surveillance by the Obama administration. There doesn’t seem to be any indication of a national security or criminal interest in these conversations.  

3.       According to sources, Obama’s National Security Advisor, Susan Rice ordered the unmasking of all Trump related intercepts. Rice has admitted to the unmasking but denied she leaked the information to anyone. Rice claims the unmasking if US citizen’s identities is not unusual and is legal under the FISA law.  Rice has lied to the American people in the pass so her credibility is somewhat questionable.

Given the lack of any evidence of wrong-doing from the incoming Trump administration it is hard to conclude anything other than Trump, his campaign staff, and business associates were targeted for pollical purposes.

It is obvious that the Obama administration was casual about protecting the privacy of US citizens that were inadvertently swept up in a FISA surveillance.  


And that is the scary part of the story. The Obama administration deliberately used the FISA law in a back-door effort to spy on his political opponents. This is the stuff of banana republics and deserves far more scrutiny than it is receiving today. 

Monday, March 20, 2017

Refusing Service is Good for Me But Not for Thee

Guy wearing Trump hat sues bar for refusing to serve him



Bartenders at a West Village hot spot served up discrimination — with a liberal twist — refusing to serve a customer because he was wearing a “Make America Great Again” hat, according to a lawsuit.

Greg Piatek, 30, an accountant from Philadelphia, claims he was snubbed and eventually 86’d by workers at The Happiest Hour on West 10th Street over his conservative fashion statement, popularized by Donald Trump on the campaign trail, he told The Post.

“Anyone who supports Trump — or believes what you believe — is not welcome here! And you need to leave right now because we won’t serve you!” Piatek claims he was told as he was shown the door by a manager.

Can anyone guess how many liberals that were only too glad to punish Christian couples for following their beliefs will run to defend this bar's 1st Amendment rights.

The over/under is 92 percent.

Friday, March 17, 2017

Will Perceptions Help Trump to a Second Term?

Perceptions are that Trump's policies are working

Perceptions matter. People make decisions, even life-altering decisions, based on what they perceive as likely to happen. To the extent that public policy affects such decisions, the perception of likely policy change can affect behavior even before the change happens — even if it ends up never happening.

Something like that seems to be happening in America — and around the world — in the two months since Donald Trump was inaugurated as president. People are making decisions based on perceptions of how he might change the country's direction.

Take the economy. The numbers in the jobs report for February, Trump's first full month in office, showing an increase of 235,000 jobs, are not wildly out of line with some monthly reports in recent years.
In contrast to the years of the Obama stimulus program, when the bulk of new jobs came in the public sector, it appears that the increase here is in the private sector. Moody's Analytics says there were 298,000 new private sector jobs in February, far more than the 189,000 it expected.
Construction jobs were up 58,000, private educational services jobs up 29,000, manufacturing jobs up 28,000. This suggests that lots of employers, small as well as large, are taking the plunge and creating new jobs.

Can I prove that they're doing so because of perceptions that regulations and taxes will be decreased by the Trump administration? No, and I'm not sure any economist's statistical model could either. But that sure looks like what's happening.

Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Manmade Global Warming? Maybe Not So Much


Arctic ice loss driven by natural swings, not just mankind: study


Natural swings in the Arctic climate have caused up to half the precipitous losses of sea ice around the North Pole in recent decades, with the rest driven by man-made global warming, scientists said on Monday. 
The study indicates that an ice-free Arctic Ocean, often feared to be just years away, in one of the starkest signs of man-made global warming, could be delayed if nature swings back to a cooler mode.
Natural variations in the Arctic climate "may be responsible for about 30–50 percent of the overall decline in September sea ice since 1979," the U.S.-based team of scientists wrote in the journal Nature Climate Change.

See what happens when scientist can do honest science?

Friday, January 20, 2017

Inauguration Day Live Blog

The inauguration of Donald J. Trump as the 45th President of The United States. 

6:00 Festivities started yesterday with Mr Trump laying a wreath at the tomb of the unknown soldier.


Followed by a visit to the concert at the Lincoln Memorial.


The forgotten men and women of our country are forgotten no longer.

Anti-Trump protestors turn volent.

8:45 am Donald and Melania Trump attend pre-inauguration services at St. John's Episcopal Church.

12:01 pm Donald John Trump is sworn in as the 45th President of the United States. 



Friday, December 30, 2016

The Election Was Not Hacked


As Jon Gabriel so succentily put it:

Despite the histrionic claims of the press, the election was not hacked. The Democratic National Committee’s lousy IT security allowed someone to access their emails which were then leaked. Clinton’s campaign manager John Podesta fell for an age-old phishing scam that was as believable as getting millions of dollars from a Nigerian prince. Using the spotty media understanding of cybersecurity, they can claim that the DNC and Hillary’s campaign were “hacked,” but the election decisively was not. And the press knows it.

It is a distinction with a diffrence.  I'm sure if you question the press on it they will say they meant "the election" inclusive of the voting and all the campaigning that lead up to the vote.

But that's not how most people view it. They separate the election as the actual voting and tallying of the votes from the campaigns leading up to the election as separate entities altogether.

I highly doubt the press is ignorant of this separation.  It is a deliberate disinformation campaign on the part of some outlets (the New York Times, Washington Post)  and just plain laziness on the part of others (Fox News).

And it is the primary reason why most people think the purveyors of fake news are the mainstream media itself. 

Thursday, December 8, 2016

The Infantile Temper Tantrums of Sore Losers

Typical of liberal infantile behavior. 

Our campaign lost the election. But Trump’s team must own up to how he won.

I know how to be a gracious loser.
I could have let it go last week when Kellyanne Conway, Donald Trump’s campaign manager, challenged me to look her in the eye and say she ran a campaign that gave white supremacists a platform. I considered for a split second. I knew you were supposed to be gracious when you come for the post-election forum at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government. But I decided this was a year where normal rules don’t apply. Speaking the truth was more important.
“It did. Kellyanne, it did,” I told her. It’s just a fact. Trump winning the election doesn’t change that. To my mind, his win makes it all the more important that the truth be acknowledged.
No Jennifer, you do not know how to be gracious. Nor is your infantile behavior anything close to the truth. The only saving grace is that after losing a campaign you should have won in your sleep, you will never hold a significant position in a political campaign again. 
And neither will your fellow colleagues that made up Clinton's senior staff. 
This behavior is also apparent in the prolong and useless recount demands, petitions for the electoral college betrayal of the voters, the incessant whining about the popular vote, and the sudden campaign by liberal activist to eliminate the electoral college altogether. 
This behavior does not reflect well on the people who would have ruled us.
It in fact confirms the wisdom of electing Donald Trump as the next president of the United States. 

Saturday, November 12, 2016

No Roger, Cuba Still Matters to Cuban Americans

Consider this analysis from the New York Post:

Obama’s ‘legacy’ drive lost Florida for Clinton


The evidence is mounting that President Obama’s overzealous defense of his “opening Cuba” gambit cost Hillary Clinton the state of Florida. That misstep could end up wiping out most of the president’s carefully curated “legacy” achievements.
For the president and his young Deputy National Security Adviser Ben Rhodes, the establishment of diplomatic relations with one of the world’s last communist dictatorships became something they weirdly defended from any criticism. Even the smallest amendment that watered down coddling the Castros drew fulminating threats of vetoes from the White House.
Then in late October, President Obama went for broke and decided to stick a bigger needle in his opponents’ eye.
He lifted limits on the import of cigars and rum, and then ordered our ambassador to the United Nations to abstain from a vote condemning the US economic embargo on Cuba.
That UN directive was especially galling. President Obama was, in fact, venting his frustration with Congress for not lifting the embargo upon his command — which Congress has the right to refuse to do — by letting the world body mock US law unopposed.
The Cuban-American community in Miami was irritated enough to give a second look to Donald Trump, who quickly reacted by shifting from his earlier tepid support for Obama’s Cuba policy to a promise that he would end relations unless Raul Castro began democratic reforms.
Obama and Clinton gamble on the mis-conception that a new generation of Cuban-Americans who were born in the United States would not feel deep ties to Cuba or care all that much about the Castro regime.

They were wrong, it matter very much to them and Obama's gambit with the Castro government was the Bay of Pigs betrayal all over again.

By opening relations with Cuba, Obama handed Florida to Trump. 

Thursday, November 10, 2016

The Coming Trump Administration

Now that we have had time to adjust to the fact of a Trump victory, it’s time to look forward to the coming Trump presidency and try to analyze what a Trump administration will mean.  We will look at the following areas in no particular order. 

1. Court Nominees

Job one is the nomination to fill Antonin Scalia seat on the supreme court. Look for a conservative that is more Kennedy than Scalia. That is sure for disappoint some rabid conservatives but Trump’s instincts are far more moderate than conservative.

Looking down the road, Ginsburg’s and Beyer’s seat will probably also open up during a Trump presidency.  Trump will have an opportunity to shape the court for the next generation.

Of equal importance are nominees to the various inferior courts in the federal system.  There are hundreds of vacancies to fill so Trump should keep the Senate fairly busy for the next few years filling these posts. 

2. The Repeal and Replacement of Obamacare 

It goes without saying that President Obama’s signature achievement will not last the first year of the Trump administration. It is one of the worst, most unpopular pieces of legislation ever devised by the Democrats.  

What form the replacement will take is harder to say. The one thing in Obamacare that would be kept is coverage for pre-existing conditions. However, that coverage must involve shared risk polls and/or other fiscally sound techniques to implement. 

Other features are the ability to sell health insurance across state lines, major medical coverage only for younger, healthier, single adults and other free-market reforms that will reduce the cost of insurance while maintaining quality healthcare. 

3. No big, magnificent wall on the southern border but stricter enforcement of immigration laws, more strict vetting of immigrants and a larger budget to support both. 

Suffice to say the encouragement to illegally immigrate to the United States ends with the Trump administration.  While it is doubtful Trump will engage in mass deportations, it is a certainty that illegal immigrants will never become citizens or be allowed to vote.  Nor will sanctuary cities be tolerated under a Trump administration. 

And yes, the term illegal immigrant will be use because illegal immigrants enter the country in violation of the law. 

4. Free Trade and Globalism is on Hold  

It goes without saying that TPP is dead and other free trade pacts will be under review. The primary priority with this is to return high paying jobs back the US.

5. Tax policies.

Will go hand in a hand with trade policies to encourage companies to bring capital and jobs back to the United States. 

6. Climate Change

Say sayonara to the odious climate change policies and treaties pushed by the liberals. Look for federal lands to be opened to energy exploration and pipeline projects to go forward.  

7. Domestic Social Policy

You will see a rollback of the most odious Title IX interpretations by the Obama administration. 

8. Infrastructure Spending

Trump likes to build things. See a large increase in infrastructure spending. 

9. Military Spending

Look for an increase in the military budget. 

10. VA Administration Reform

Finally, someone who will really reform the VA Administration.  Look for a privatize insurance plan to cover most veterans’ health needs while the current VA hospital system concentrates are war and trauma related specifies. 

11. Entitlement spending will not be touched, deficits explode.

Trump has repeatedly said that he will not touch social security Medicare and other entitlements. Without addressing these spending issues the deficit will explode.  

12.  End to the Regulation Regime

Trump will take his pen and his phone to roll back every regulation Obama put into effect.  

13. What will happen to Hillary Clinton?


You can’t keep calling her crooked Hillary for 18 months and then not doing anything about it. Since the whole process would stink of politics, look for Trump to appoint an independent counsel. 

Monday, October 3, 2016

Thousands of Haitians are About to Die Because of Hillary Clinton

In 2010 Haiti was devastated by a 5.0 earthquake. Among the charities providing relief was the Clinton Global Initiative.

The promise of the Initiative was to provide housing for the Haitian people that was both earthquake and extreme weather resistant.    

However, after six years most of those Haitian victims are still living in tents and cardboard shacks because 90% of the money donated for Haitian relief never went to relief. 

Now a category four Hurricane is barreling down on Haiti. Hurricane force winds should arrive be this evening. 

In the US a Cat 4 storm usually leads to grievous property damage but due to warnings adequate shelters and housing built to code, the death toll remains relatively low. 

However, due to Clinton’s mismanagement (and that’s being kind), Haitians are still living in substandard housing and there are not enough adequate shelters to hold them all. The death toll will in all probability be in the thousands. 

It’s a scandal far more serious than whether a businessman loses money on a business deal but I doubt you will see much coverage the New York Times.  

Wednesday, September 21, 2016

Early Voting for President is Unconstitutional

Article II Section 1:


The Congress may determine the Time of chusing the Electors, and the Day on which they shall give their Votes; which Day shall be the same throughout the United States.

It’s pretty straightforward. The “chusing the Electors” is what you are doing when you vote for president and vice-president of the United States.

The constitution grants Congress the explicit power to determine the time of the election for president and vice-president and requires it must be the same throughout the United States. So early voting fails on two counts:

1. States are usurping the authority of Congress to determine the day of the election by holding early voting.

2. Early voting days are not uniformed throughout the United States.


In off-year elections states have pretty much to power to hold elections as they see fit. The constitution is silent on elections for every other office. However, as long as president and vice-president is on ballot, there can only be one election day throughout the United States as designated by Congress.