Friday, September 9, 2016
What happens if Trump and Clinton Tie in the Electoral Collage
Click the map to create your own at The above scenario is a distinct possibility. So what would happen if Clinton and Trump tied.
Well according to the constitution.
if no person have such majority, then from the persons having the highest numbers not exceeding three on the list of those voted for as President, the House of Representatives shall choose immediately, by ballot, the President. But in choosing the President, the votes shall be taken by states, the representation from each state having one vote; a quorum for this purpose shall consist of a member or members from two-thirds of the states, and a majority of all the states shall be necessary to a choice.
A couple of things to note.
The house can't go rogue it must choose between Clinton, Trump, or the third party candidate with the highest number of votes on the ballot. It's not very likely that Gary Johnson or Jill Stein will win even one electoral vote so the list is basically paired down to Clinton and Trump.
Even though the House votes for president, each state only gets one vote. In all electoral vote scenarios the Republicans will control a majority of the states.
It is unlikely the Republicans would go rogue and vote for Clinton.
So a tie would be a Trump win.
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5 comments:
When I started this post, I thought of the possibility of the house going rogue and selecting somebody else as president.
But when I reread the 12th amendment, I discovered it limited their choices to candidates who win electoral votes.
Electors are not required to vote for the person that won their state. In the event of a 269-269 tie it is quite likely there will be faithless electors. Faithless electors can vote for anyone and are not restricted to candidates on the ballot. Paul Ryan, Bernie Sanders, and John Kasich could be the beneficiary of such a vote, just as Johnson, Pence or Kaine could be.
Note also that the Senate selects the Vice President if no candidate receives a majority. There is no requirement the President and Vice President be from the same party.
You are correct about the possibility of faithless electors. (Although if Trump does his due diligence, the possibility of a faithless Trump elector is rather remote.)
You asked me to check your blog. This is a month old, and doesn't have the newest polls.
Well first off I didn't "asked" you to check out this blog you on the other hand demanded that I come up with my own EV map. (Twice in fact, once on the legacy blog and once on the 2.0 blog.)
I just mention that I already did it on this blog.
Second, I don't think fundamentals have changed all that much to justify a new EV map.
Unlike you, I don't go chasing the shiny ball.
I still think it's going to be a very close election.
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